Thursday, September 14, 2006

The Big Games

Another thing you'll see on Fridays from now on are a profile of the big district games, but not so much a summary. What's the situation gonna be if Team A wins? Or Team B? The number of games previewed per week will vary...

(A, 3) Bardstown @ Louisville Holy Cross
If Bardstown wins: The Tigers become the top challenger to Danville in Class A. Trips to Campbellsville at cross-town Bethlehem would be Holy Cross's only shots at recatching the Tigers in the standings.
If Holy Cross wins: A trip to Bethlehem next week cannot be overlooked, but a win there would likely clinch a district championship. They don't have to make the trip to Campbellsville, but they do have to visit Green County.

(A, 5) Covington Holy Cross @ Newport Central Catholic
If Holy Cross wins: Holy Cross would control their own destiny in the 5th district. Next week at Bellevue might be challenging, but three easy district wins sets up a mammouth October 27th game versus Beechwood for the district championship.
If NCC wins: Central takes control of the district, but a September 30th game at home versus Beechwood would likely decide the district champion. A trap game at Bellevue on October 20th could throw a wrench into things.

(A, 6) Lexington Christian @ Raceland
If Christian wins: The district championship is likely awarded to Christian. Only an October 13th trip to Paris and a season finale at home against Fairview would likely pose any problems.
If Raceland wins: Same deal. Wins over Ashland Blazer and Lexington Christian now affirm Raceland as a state championship contender. Tough finish possible at home versus Fairview and then at Paris.

(2A, 1) Fort Campbell @ Trigg County
If Fort Campbell wins: It's likely a district championship for Fort Campbell. After this win in Cadiz, they return home for two tough opponents in Lone Oak and Caldwell County. Three of the last four are on the road, so potential upsets may arise there.
If Trigg County wins: A potential letdown looms next week at Caldwell County, who is off to a 3-1 start. Last two are on the road, including ending the season at Lone Oak. But like Fort Campbell, Trigg County should take the district with a win.

(3A, 3) Central @ North Bullitt
If Central wins: Central runs away with the district championship. They've already beaten Valley and Bullitt East, two of the other top contenders for the district crown. North Bullitt is the other, and they already have a district loss.
If North Bullitt wins: The third district is thrown into confusion. Doss would take the district lead as the only team without a loss (they are idle). North Bullitt now holds the advantage, and now would likely play for a district title on October 6th at Doss. Bullitt East looms however on October 27th.

(3A, 6) Lexington Catholic @ Franklin County
If Catholic wins: The Knights return to the "who's gonna challenge Highlands and Bowling Green discussion." The district championship would be sealed with a win over Harrison County at home next week.
If Franklin County wins: The Flyers become the district favorite but face a much tougher road. Only two of their remaining six district games are at home, and a season-ending game in Cynthiana against Harrison County will be interesting.

(4A, 6) Boone County @ Simon Kenton
If Boone County wins: The Rebels get a big win in this wide open district. By no means do they become the district favorite, but a road win over a tough SK team puts them at the top. Every game will be a challenge, but a season ender at Conner would be difficult if Boone is playing for a title.
If Simon Kenton wins: I'd put SK at the top of the district race. They remain the only undefeated team in Region 3. Two consecutive road games at Dixie Heights and Holmes will decide whether or not they contend for a district championship.

(4A, 6) Ryle @ Campbell County
If Ryle wins: The highest-ranked team in the 6th should become one of the favorites. The Raiders alternate home and away games until closing with Dixie Heights. Road games at Boone County and two weeks later Simon Kenton will challenge.
If Campbell County wins: This district becomes really crazy. Ryle should recover if they lose, but Campbell County instantly becomes a contender. Conner will be a tough test next week; a two-week stretch in October against Boone County and Simon Kenton will determine their fate.

(4A, 7) Henry Clay @ Scott County
If Henry Clay wins: The Blue Devils take a firm grip on the 7th district. Big games against Lafayette and Tates Creek are at home. Only Dunbar would provide any sort of test on the road.
If Scott County wins: Things get interesting. A Friday the 13th game at Tates Creek will be huge. Follow that up with Senior Night versus Dunbar and then a closer at Lafayette, and Scott County has their three-week stretch to see if they can best Henry Clay in the district for a second time. It will be tough.

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